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Hong Kong's first quarterly leading index revealing the changes in Hong Kong's banking service demand from companies and individuals from mainland China.

2Q2018

The 2Q2018 CNCBI Cross-border Banking Demand Index remains at 1Q2018's 56.9, which indicates that demand for cross-border banking services stands high in the context of growth as supported by such improving conditions as macroeconomic situations, RMB appreciation expectation and policy clarity. Corporate Demand Index slips slightly by 0.2 from the last quarter to 54.9, which reflects softer demand from corporations for cross-border banking services. Individuals Demand Index rises 0.4 more and hits a two-year high of 64.5, implying a sustained momentum in individuals' demand.

Of the 8 corporate demand sub-indices, 4 increase and 4 decrease. The drop in derivative products is most significant at 1.4, followed by trade finance (1.0), loans (0.8) and bond issuance (0.1). In the order of magnitude, currency transactions (0.6), structured finance (0.5), asset management & financial consultancy (0.1) and settlement & cash management (0.1) log increases.

Of the 6 individuals demand sub-indices, 4 go up and 2 go down. The rising sub-indices, namely currency transactions, immigration & education services, financial investment and credit cards, increase rather significantly by 1.0 or above, with the first two sub-indices gaining 1.8 and 1.5 respectively, whereas the mortgage & personal loans and insurance products sub-indices shred 1.0 and 0.6 respectively.

As regards the sub-index of expectation of regulatory looseness, the corporate and individuals sub-indices stand at 49.4 and 51.4 respectively, representing an increase of 1.6 and a decrease of 2.1 compared to 1Q2018.

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