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Hong Kong's first quarterly leading index revealing the changes in Hong Kong's banking service demand from companies and individuals from mainland China.


The 1Q2019 CNCBI Cross-border Banking Demand Index falls 0.5 further to 55.5. Corporate Demand Index takes another 0.4 dip to 53.8, which signifies the lingering impact of the China-US trade war while Individuals Demand Index suffers a trade war spillover and drops a steep 1.0 to 62.1 following a mild recovery in the previous quarter.

Five of the nine corporate demand sub-indices fall, while three rise and one stays put. Settlement & cash management, currency transactions, derivative products and asset management & financial consultancy plunge by 3.4, 2.5, 2.0 and 1.8 respectively. Trade finance slides slightly by 0.2 whereas structured finance and bond issuance rise by 1.5 and 0.2 as loans remains unchanged.

Regarding individuals’ cross-border demand, four of the individual demand sub-indices fall and three rise. Currency transactions, credit cards and financial investment plunge by 4.4, 2.4 and 2.1 respectively. Immigration & education services falls merely 0.5, while mortgage & personal loans and insurance products pick up 1.1 and 0.6 respectively.

The 1Q2019 expectation of regulatory looseness from both corporations and individuals rise 0.4 and 1.4 to 48.1 and 48.9 respectively.

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