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CNCBI Cross-border Banking Demand Index

Hong Kong's first quarterly leading index revealing the changes in Hong Kong's banking service demand from companies and individuals from mainland China.

3Q2017

The 3Q2017 CNCBI Cross-border Banking Demand Index drops 1.1 to 56.1, indicating that 3Q demand for cross-border banking services from mainland China is to drop significantly after the remarkable 2Q increase. Corporate and Individuals Demand Indices drop 1.3 and 0.4 respectively to 54.2 and 63.8, implying that corporations’ and individuals’ cross-border banking demand weakens, with the former at a greater speed.

Except for the sub-index of expectation of regulatory looseness, all the other 8 corporate demand sub-indices fall in 3Q. The loans, bond issuance, currency transactions and settlement & cash management sub-indices show significant drops of 3.1, 2.0, 2.0 and 1.9 respectively from 2Q’s 59.0, 54.9, 58.5 and 57.6 to 55.9, 52.9, 56.5 and 55.7. The asset management & financial consultancy, structured finance, trade finance and derivative products sub-indices fall moderately by 1.1, 0.7, 1.4 and 1.0 respectively.

Of the 7 individuals demand sub-indices, 5 slide in 3Q with immigration & education services and currency transactions showing the biggest fall of 2.6 and 2.5 from 2Q’s 64.0 and 66.0 to 61.4 and 63.5 respectively. Insurance products, credit cards and mortgage & personal loans drop slightly by 0.1, 0.1 and 0.4 respectively whereas financial investment posts a further increase of 1.4 to 69.9.

The 3Q2017 expectation of regulatory looseness sub-indices from both the corporate and individuals sides post a substantial rise of 3.0 and 2.1 respectively from 46.0 and 49.5 to 49.0 and 51.6, reflecting that mainland corporations and individuals expect the controls over cross-border capital flows to slow down or even loosen after last year’s tightening.

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