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Hong Kong's first quarterly leading index revealing the changes in Hong Kong's banking service demand from companies and individuals from mainland China.
4Q2019
The 4Q2019 CNCBI Cross-border Banking Demand Index stands at a record low of 55.3 since the launch of the index, logging the second biggest quarter-on-quarter decline of 1.8, underscoring the brunt of the escalating China-US trade war on the mainland’s demand for Hong Kong’s cross-border banking services.
The Corporate Demand Index falls 0.9 to 54.3 on the quarter, indicating a marked decline of mainland corporations’ “going out” aspiration after the escalation of the China-US trade war at August’s dawn. Meanwhile, the Individuals Demand Index breaks the 60 mark for the first time with a sharp fall of 5.1 to 59.5, implying that mainland individuals’ “going out” aspiration is dampened even more significantly by the double blow of the trade war escalation.
In 4Q2019, the expectation of regulatory looseness sub-index falls 0.5 on the corporate side while a 2.7 plunge is seen in individuals to respectively 48.1 and 47.7.
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